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We use a simple quantitative asset pricing model to "reverse-engineer" the sequences of stochastic shocks to housing demand and lending standards that are needed to exactly replicate the boom-bust patterns in U.S. household real estate value and mortgage debt over the period 1995 to 2012....
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Equilibrium credit is an important concept because it helps identify excessive credit provision. This paper proposes a … two-stage approach to determine equilibrium credit. It uses two stages to study changes in the demand for credit due to …-income countries over the period 1980-2010, this paper provides empirical evidence that the credit-to-GDP ratio is inappropriate to …
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This paper proposes and tests a theory of credit-driven asset bubbles which are neutral in their real effects. When a … asset bubbles can form which exactly offset a bubble in household liabilities. Surprisingly, evidence from a VAR using long …-run restrictions supports the idea that asset bubbles are approximately neutral in their real effects before 2007. The evidence becomes …
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