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We infer the role of price expectations in forming the U.S. housing boom in the early-2000s from examining housing inventories. We use a reduced form model to show that agents invest in vacant homes when they anticipate prices will increase. Empirically, vacancy can discriminate between price...
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feature of the model is that learning operates in both the demand for assets and the supply of credit. Interactions between … propagation. In contrast, the paper shows why learning involving only one side on the market, which has been the focus of most of …
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feature of the model is that learning operates in both the demand for assets and the supply of credit. Interactions between … propagation. In contrast, the paper shows why learning involving only one side on the market, which has been the focus of most of …
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bubbles”. In this paper, we provide a model-free test of rational bubbles and we apply it to the U.S. housing market. Based on …
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