) during the post-war period. It does so by restoring conflict and power to the forefront of macro theory and, in particular …' PC (relating the level of the inflation rate, not the change in this rate, to the rate of unemployment); and the …

unemployment benefits in response to an unemployment shock in a simple, reduced-form model of the labor market. It is found that …. Adjustment costs of changing benefits can introduce hysteresis in benefit setting and unemployment. Both (very) bad and good … temporary shocks (including monetary) can permanently reduce unemployment benefits and the unemployment rate. A desirable …

unemployment flows to forecast the unemployment rate. We pay particular attention to flows-based approaches - the more reduced … unemployment flows are useful in forecasting the unemployment rate. We find that any approach that considers unemployment inflow …. Its usefulness is amplified at specific points in the business cycle when the unemployment rate is away from the longer …