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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001642276
Using data from Germany, Japan, UK, and the U.S., we explore possible threshold cointegration in nominal short- and … long-run interest rates with corresponding inflation rates. Traditional cointegration implies perfect mean reversion in … real rates and hence confirms the Fisher hypothesis. Threshold cointegration accounts for the possibility that this mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725013
This study considers Bayesian variable selection in the Phillips curve context by using the Bernoulli approach of Korobilis (2013a). The Bernoulli model, however, is unable to account for model change over time, which is important if the set of relevant predictors changes over time. To tackle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011720713
This paper estimates Taylor rules featuring instabilities in policy parameters, switches in policy shocks' volatility, and time-varying trend inflation using post-WWII U.S. data. The model embedding the stochastic target performs better in terms of data-fit and identification of the changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011739880
-August 2020, the other from the ECB reporting average monthly values over the period January 1900-August 2020. The estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383724
correlation of credit default spreads is substantial and highly significant. -- dynamic ordinary least squares ; cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009744106
correlation of credit default spreads is substantial and highly significant. -- dynamic ordinary least squares ; cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736203
period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and non-linearity of … both series are found to vary considerably across states, whilst the fractional cointegration analysis suggests that a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283833
period 1966-2009 using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The degree of integration and nonlinearity of … both series are found to vary considerably across states, whilst the fractional cointegration analysis suggests that a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280006
fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the … both the S&P 500 Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index. Also, fractional cointegration appears to hold at least for the … diverging growth and monetary policy. Establishing whether the degree of cointegration has changed over time is important since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334455