Showing 1 - 10 of 47,782
According to several empirical studies, the Present Value model fails to explain the behaviour of stock prices in the long-run. In this paper, the authors consider the possibility that a linear cointegrated regression model with multiple structural changes would provide a better empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745419
The equity premium of the S&P 500 Index is explained in this paper by several variables that can be grouped into fundamental, behavioral and macroeconomic factors. We hypothesize that the statistical significance of these variables changes across economic regimes. The three regimes we consider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128024
I investigate the link between dividend taxes and stock prices in a global setting. Based on findings from an open …-economy after-tax capital asset pricing model, I predict that when the U.S. cut its dividend tax rate in 2003, stock prices will … increase for high-dividend yield foreign firms that are eligible for a U.S. income tax treaty. I examine returns for firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896847
This paper looks at the evolution of U.S. stock prices from the time of the Presidential elections to the end of 2017. It concludes that a bit more than half of the increase in the aggregate U.S. stock prices from the presidential election to the end of 2017 can be attributed to higher actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011917436
values of returns, dividend growth, the dividend-price ratio, and all Campbell-Shiller-style regression results involving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544759
empirical practice of omitting dividend growth from the system amounts to imposing the extra restriction that dividend growth is … not persistent. We highlight that persistence in dividend growth induces a previously overlooked channel for return … predictability, which we label "dividend momentum." Compared to estimation based on ordinary least squares, our restricted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663774
This paper presents a new test of the present value model of stock price determination, using some of the recent advances in the econometrics of seasonal time series. Unlike earlier studies which generally find stock prices, dividends, and interest rates to be characterized by standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014043638
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001617689
A large part of the current debate on US stock price behavior concentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven by fundamentals or by non-fundamental factors. In this paper we put forward the hypothesis that a present value model with time-varying expected returns provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503717
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416755