Using a very large data set with more than 9,700 stocks listed on NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ, we analyze overnight price jumps and report short-term investor overreaction to information shocks and document return reversal and predictability up to five days. For negative and positive overnight jumps,...

We estimate time-varying expected excess returns on the US stock market from 1983 to 2008 using a model that jointly captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and...

In this paper, I analyze the role of credit risk in explaining cross-sectional stock returns. I utilize Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads to construct a credit risk factor-mimicking portfolio, which I label as Distressed-minus-Stable (DMS). As CDS contracts are written mainly on large firms, our...

This paper looks at the evolution of U.S. stock prices from the time of the Presidential elections to the end of 2017. It concludes that a bit more than half of the increase in the aggregate U.S. stock prices from the presidential election to the end of 2017 can be attributed to higher actual...

Based theoretically and empirically on the international transmission and spill-over, this study is set up to examine how returns on three groups (developed, emerging and frontier) of global stock markets respond to the U.S. credit spread shock. The Granger-causality is computed to determine the...

The paper explores whether the co-movement of market returns and equity fund flows can be explained by a common response to macroeconomic news. I find that variables that predict the real economy as well as the equity premium are related to mutual fund flows. Changes in dividend-price ratio...

In this paper we document the asymmetric role that the U.S. stock market plays in the international predictability of excess stock returns during recession and expansion periods. Most of the positive evidence accrues during the periods of recessions in the United States. During the expansions...

Using a score provided by Thomson Reuters to measure the tone of news articles, I construct a weekly measure of qualitative information. The measure predicts future returns over the next 13 weeks and mitigates short-term reversal in the weekly momentum strategy. A portfolio that takes a long...