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The recent house price appreciation in the United States has renewed the interest in determining the existence of ”bubbles”. In this paper, we provide a model-free test of rational bubbles and we apply it to the U.S. housing market. Based on the current account identity, we argue that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404365
This paper investigates the US housing market from just before the Great Recession onward (2006–19) and assesses the viability of stock-flow matching in generating the observed outcomes. The paper documents that the probability that a house sells declines sharply after listing for two weeks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238533
This paper investigates the US housing market from just before the Great Recession onward (2006-2019) and assesses the viability of stock-flow matching in generating the observed outcomes. The paper documents that the probability a house sells declines sharply after listing for two weeks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243085
This paper examines key facts about the U.S. housing market. The price to rent ratio is highly volatile and significantly autocorrelated. Returns on housing are positively autocorrelated. The price to rent ratio is negatively correlated with future returns on housing and future rent growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022372
This paper studies idiosyncratic price dispersion in the US housing market. We develop a new strategy to measure dispersion at the level of individual house sales. We show that idiosyncratic price dispersion is countercyclical and seasonal, and is associated with various measures of market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849248
Research in real estate finance and economics has been dealing with the topic of efficiency in the U.S. housing market for over 25 years. However, most recent research either examines local markets based on single homes or focuses on the Conventional Mortgage Home Price Indices (CMPHI) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198083
I use daily data from fifty major cities to investigate the early effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on housing market in the United States. I find that starting from the second half of March, 2020, new home listings and pending home sales started to decrease. By mid-April, certain markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224225
This paper examines whether effects of labor demand shocks on housing prices vary across time and space. Using data on 321 US metropolitan statistical areas, we estimate the medium- and long-run effects of increases in metropolitan statistical area-level employment and total labor income on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011880374
In this paper, we present a directed search model of the housing market. The pricing mechanism we analyze reflects the way houses are bought and sold in the United States. Our model is consistent with the observation that houses are sometimes sold above, sometimes below and sometimes at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003932400
In this paper, we present a directed search model of the housing market. The pricing mechanism we analyze reflects the way houses are bought and sold in the United States. Our model is consistent with the observation that houses are sometimes sold above, sometimes below and sometimes at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379608