conventional and aggregated inflation expectations. Our results chart a new course for designing measurement of inflation …This paper introduces a novel measure of consumer inflation expectations: We elicit and combine inflation forecasts … across categories of personal consumption expenditure to form an aggregated measure of inflation expectations. Drawing on …

inflation and on unemployment. This relationship can be motivated by the existence of the Taylor rule. Using micro survey data … mainly driven by disagreement on inflation. Exploring further determinants, we confirm that central bank transparency as well …

This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …

U.S. monetary policy can remain extraordinarily accommodative only if longer-term inflation expectations stay well … economically small impact on longer-term inflation compensation embedded in U.S. Treasury bonds. The estimated effect is larger for … correlated with the variance of longer-term inflation expectations in the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers in the post …

Why do some attempts at disinflation lead to substantial reductions in inflation while others do not? We investigate … that a fundamental determinant of success in reducing inflation was the strength of the Federal Reserve's commitment to … disinflation at the start of its attempts. In episodes where its commitment was high, there were significant declines in inflation …

.S. headline inflation rate. This paper compares alternative approaches to filtering out the transitory effects of these industry … price changes and measuring the underlying or core level of inflation over 2020-2021. The Federal Reserve’s preferred … measure of core, the inflation rate excluding food and energy prices (XFE), has performed poorly: over most of 2020-21, it is …

variables, should not affect agents ́expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both … long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensible to policy-related uncertainty shocks. A rise of long …-term inflation expectations in times of economic contraction, in response to such shocks, suggests that heightened policy uncertainty …

This paper takes up the issue of the flexibility of inflation targeting regimes, with the specific goal of determining … whether the monetary policy of the Bank of England, which has a formal inflation target, has been any less flexible than that … of the Federal Reserve, which does not have such a target. The empirical analysis uses the speed of inflation forecast …

This paper takes up the issue of the flexibility of inflation targeting regimes, with the specific goal of determining … whether the monetary policy of the Bank of England, which has a formal inflation target, has been any less flexible than that … of the Federal Reserve, which does not have such a target. The empirical analysis uses the speed of inflation forecast …

the Phillips curve over time. We consider different specifications and different measures for inflation. Furthermore, we ….S. headline inflation has remained empirically relevant over the years. …