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We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates, and equity prices in the U.S. Their simultaneous changes enable us to distinguish between a systematic and "exogenous" response to monetary-policy news. And, those tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
This paper assesses the microstructure of the U.S. Treasury securities market, using newly available tick data from the BrokerTec electronic trading platform. Examining trading activity, bid-ask spreads, and depth for on-the-run two-, three-, five-, ten-, and thirty-year Treasury securities, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864593
Inter-dealer trading in US Treasury Securities is almost equally divided between two similar electronic trading platforms. This provides a natural experiment within which to test the propositions of Bloomfield & O'Hara (1999 and 2000) about price discovery in fragmented markets. We examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130655
Inter-dealer trading in US Treasury Securities is almost equally divided between two similar electronic trading platforms. BrokerTec is more active in the trading of 2-, 5-, and 10-year T-notes while eSpeed has more active trading in the 30-year bond. eSpeed provides a more pre-trade transparent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131615
We examine the stock market valuation of large and systemic U.S. banks over the period 2003Q4-2014Q1. These are the banks included in a series of supervisory capital review and stress tests conducted annually since 2009 by the Federal Reserve. We extend Gordon's growth model of stock valuation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014549
We assess the microstructure of the U.S. Treasury securities market following its migration to electronic trading. We model price discovery using a vector autoregression model of price and order flow. We show that both trades and limit orders affect price dynamics, suggesting that traders also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940727
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates, and equity prices in the U.S. Their simultaneous changes enable us to distinguish between a systematic and "exogenous" response to monetary-policy news. And, those tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774934
I examine whether or not returns on stock markets are a leading indicator for real macroeconomic developments in Austria, Japan and the USA. Further I deal with the concept of stock market efficiency, the question whether or not information from real and financial sectors of the economy is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294592
We use sector level REIT and transaction-based direct real estate data for the U.S. to provide a clearer understanding of the dynamic relations between public and private real estate returns. We exclude leverage from REIT returns to make the REIT data more comparable with the direct market data....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797757
We introduce a long memory autoregressive conditional Poisson (LMACP) model to model highly persistent time series of counts. The model is applied to forecast quoted bid-ask spreads, a key parameter in stock trading operations. It is shown that the LMACP nicely captures salient features of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009229669