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Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001657476
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
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This study investigates the role of oil futures price information on forecasting the US stock market volatility using … futures realized volatility. In particular, the multivariate HAR model outperforms the univariate model. Accordingly …, considering the contemporaneous connection is useful to predict the US stock market volatility. Furthermore, these findings are …
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