Showing 1 - 10 of 3,502
speculative bubbles and/or noise trading behavior. Our empirical findings for the US stock market covering the 1871:1 - 2000 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503717
This paper offers a specific analysis of speculation bubbles in the economic history of the world, and then tries to … identify the causes and effects of the speculation bubble on the real estate market in the USA, which was the main cause of the … subprime crisis. The first part of the paper aims at defining the phenomenon of economic fluctuations and speculation bubble …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009510785
This paper is the first to utilize a direct test for periodic, partially collapsing speculative bubbles in US REIT … bubbles, most notably in the Mortgage REITs series. There is also visual evidence of a negative bubble in all three series in … bubbles or indeed taking advantage of such bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150782
their fundamentals were caused by the existence of two genres of bubbles: intrinsic bubbles and rational speculative bubbles … collapsing rational bubbles in the post-2000 market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093992
that SPC in general might be a useful tool in constructing early warning systems for asset price bubbles. -- statistical … process control ; real estate ; asset prices bubbles ; early warning systems …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009631674
This paper presents an in-depth analysis of developments in the microfinance sector before and after the Lehman Brothers collapse in 2008 by comparing them with developments in traditional banking sectors of emerging market economies and developing countries. The findings indicate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008758753
Housing finance, and, specifically, the subprime private label securitisation market in the US, was at the epicentre of the global financial crisis. Excessive debt expansion in the run-up to the crisis resulted in credit risk, under-identified and mispriced ex ante, and in systemic risk. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032217
We outline a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with trend extrapo-lation in asset pricing that we fit to quarterly U.S. macroeconomic time series with Baye-sian techniques. To be more precise, we modify the DSGE model in Smets and Wouters (2007) by incorporating asset traders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151734
conventional unit root tests in modified forms can be used to construct early warning indicators for bubbles in financial markets … 1871, they are able to signal most of the consensus bubbles, defined as stock market booms for example by the IMF, and they … bubbles from the data. Finally, these early warning indicators are applied to data for several housing markets. In most of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148911
Finanzmarktkrisen entstehen häufig in Folge von Immobilienpreisblasen. In dieser Arbeit wird die Entstehung von Immobilienpreisblasen unter Berücksichtigung der spezifischen Eigenschaften von Immobilienmärkten sowie von Wechselwirkungen zwischen Immobilien- und Finanzmärkten untersucht und...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947954