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government bonds to derive expected inflation rates and inflation risk premia, in the euro area and in the US. Maximum likelihood … which can be interpreted as two real factors and one inflation factor. These provide important information on expected … inflation and inflation risk premia. The results highlight some striking differences between the euro area and the US. In the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110054
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are frequently thought of as risk-free real bonds. Using no … informational content of TIPS breakeven inflation, a widely-used proxy for expected inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006559
We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using intraday data, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity prices all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247914
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391315
We provide a critical assessment of the method used by the Cleveland Fed to correct expected inflation derived from … index-linked bonds for liquidity and inflation risk premia and show how their method can be adapted to account for time …-varying inflation risk premia. Furthermore, we show how sensitive the Cleveland Fed approach is to different measures of the liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951555
inflation rate or interest rate and the dynamics of investment fund in U.S. and Romania. The direct relationship between … inflation rate and net subscription of stock funds in the US market is validated, while in the case of Romania cannot be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130663
dynamics of inflation risk premia over the 1983-2013 period by allowing for time-varying market prices of inflation risk and … incorporating survey information on inflation uncertainty in the estimation. The model captures changes in premia over very diverse … periods, from the inflation scare episodes of the 1980s, when perceived inflation uncertainty was high, to the more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570647
dynamics of inflation risk premia over the 1983-2013 period by allowing for time-varying market prices of inflation risk and … incorporating survey information on inflation uncertainty in the estimation. The model captures changes in premia over very diverse … periods, from the inflation scare episodes of the 1980s, when perceived inflation uncertainty was high, to the more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011749498
the Phillips curve over time. We consider different specifications and different measures for inflation. Furthermore, we ….S. headline inflation has remained empirically relevant over the years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665848
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012290634