I explore whether time-series methods exploiting the long-run equilibrium properties of the housing market might have detected the disequilibrium in U.S. house prices which pre-dated the Great Recession as it was building up. Based on real-time data, I show that a VAR in levels identified as in...

This study compares recent home price dynamics of two countries, Korea and the U.S., in terms of underlying determinants of price variations, over time and across locations, along with dynamic adjustment patterns of disequilibrating price shocks. In particular, 2-stage error correction models...