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In this paper we quantitatively evaluate the hypothesis that the Great Moderation is partly the result of a less activist monetary policy. We simulate a New Keynesian model where the central bank can only observe a noisy estimate of the output gap and fnd that the less pronounced reaction of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009240993
This paper makes three contributions. First, I construct annual time series of gross domestic investment and national … document the long-run bivariate relationship between the time series of investment and saving. Third, I also examine the short …-run as well as the cyclical relationships between the time series of investment and saving. The results reported in this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014087784
output changes. In the euro area investment is the predominant driver of output changes, while in the U.S. consumption shifts … investment, as the proximate cause for this fact, the source of the consumption difference remains a puzzle. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635907
This paper is concerned with how stylised differences in monetary policy transmission mechanisms and product and labour market rigidities between the US and euro-area economies affect their resilience to temporary shocks. To address this issue, a small general equilibrium model with long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444383
To better understand the dynamics of the Chinese economy and its interaction with the global economy, the authors incorporate China into an existing model for the G-3 economies (i.e., the United States, the euro area, and Japan), paying particular attention to modelling the exchange rate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003996844
This paper studies the relative performance of alternative monetary policy rules in the presence of oil price shocks in a small open economy optimizing model. Our analysis shows that it is important to distinguish between alternative price indices (CPI, core CPI, and GDP deflator) when modeling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474645
I study the economies of Colombia (floating exchange rate) and Panama (dollarized) to illustrate how the monetary policy of a large economy can export capital structure distortions to small open economies that follow a different exchange rate regime. If these distortions bear enough weight, then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857170
I examine the transmission of expansionary U.S. monetary policy in case where developing countries -- including China -- peg their currencies to the dollar. I evaluate the value of the dollar peg as a fraction of consumption that households would be willing to pay for the dollar peg to remain as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060240
This paper identifies anticipated (news) and unanticipated (surprise) shocks to the U.S. Fed Funds rate using Fed Funds futures contracts, and assesses their propagation to emerging economies. Anticipated shocks are identified as the expected change in the Fed Funds rate orthogonal to expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832693
This paper develops a multivariate regime switching monetary policy model for the US economy. To exploit a large dataset we use a factor-augmented VAR with discrete regime shifts, capturing distinct business cycle phases. The transition probabilities are modelled as time-varying, depending on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965652