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euro area and Japanese inflation dynamics are best explained by Taylor-style contracts, while Buiter …-Jewitt/Fuhrer-Moore contracts perform somewhat better in fitting U.S. inflation dynamics. We are unable to fit Calvo-style contracts to inflation … backward-looking element. The completed model matches inflation and output dynamics in the United States, the euro area and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320199
area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB's response to inflation was more forceful when … inflation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the ECB's policy can be characterised as symmetric, and we quantify the … bound and a low neutral real rate, and find that it prescribes a stronger response to inflation and the output gap when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650006
We analyse the implications of asymmetric monetary policy rules by estimating Markovswitching DSGE models for the euro area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB's response to in ation was more forceful when in ation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the ECB's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617047
“below, but close to 2 percent” to a formal symmetric inflation targeting regime in the euro area or from flexible to average … inflation targeting in the U.S. is shown to boost output and inflation in both regions. Meanwhile, the fiscal packages approved … output and inflation as changing the monetary policy frameworks . Simultaneously implementing these policies is mutually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237881
We quantify spillovers of inflation expectations between the United States (US) and Euro Area (EA) based on break …-even inflation (BEI) rates. In contrast to previous studies, we model US and EA BEI rates jointly in a structural vector … autoregressive (SVAR) model. The SVAR approach allows to identify US and EA specific inflation expectations shocks. By modeling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255370
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318918
estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one-quarter and one-year ahead) and the medium term (two-year and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605203
estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one-quarter and one-year ahead) and the medium term (two-year and … measure appears superior to all others in all respects. - Output gap ; real-time data ; euro area ; inflation forecasts ; real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971060
We investigate co-movements and heterogeneity in inflation dynamics of different regions within and across euro area … countries using a novel disaggregate dataset to improve the understanding of inflation differentials in the European Monetary … Union. We employ a model where regional inflation dynamics are explained by common euro area and country specific factors as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012751970