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This article documents how the changing composition of U.S. publicly traded firms has prompted a decline in the long-run mean of the aggregate dividend-price ratio, most notably since the 1970s. Adjusting the dividend-price ratio for such changes resolves several issues with respect to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009663676
Purpose - The present research aims to examine a range of momentum trading strategies for the tourism and hospitality sector. Design/methodology/approach - The paper followed the methodology of Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) to construct the portfolios. In this methodology, all portfolios were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330980
The estimation of expected security returns is one of the major tasks for the practical implementation of the Markowitz … context we present how analysts' dividend forecasts can be used to determine an a-priori-estimation of the expected returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487257
This paper studies the intertemporal relation between U.S. volatility risk and international equity risk premia. We show that a common volatility risk factor constructed from the option-implied U.S. forward variances positively and significantly predicts future stock market returns of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236052
Using a very large data set with more than 9,700 stocks listed on NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ, we analyze overnight price jumps and report short-term investor overreaction to information shocks and document return reversal and predictability up to five days. For negative and positive overnight jumps,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254878
We cross-sectionally analyze the presence of aggregated hidden depth and trade volume in the S&P 500 and identify its key determinants. We find that the spread is the main predictor for a stock's hidden dimension, both in terms of traded and posted liquidity. Our findings moreover suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009506557
We cross-sectionally analyze the presence of aggregated hidden depth and trade volume in the S&P 500 and identify its key determinants. We find that the spread is the main predictor for a stock's hidden dimension, both in terms of traded and posted liquidity. Our findings moreover suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281537
We revisit the apparent historical success of technical trading rules on daily prices of the DJIA index from 1897 to 2011, and use the False Discovery Rate as a new approach to data snooping. The advantage of the FDR over existing methods is that it selects more outperforming rules which allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961414
The paper explores whether the co-movement of market returns and equity fund flows can be explained by a common response to macroeconomic news. I find that variables that predict the real economy as well as the equity premium are related to mutual fund flows. Changes in dividend-price ratio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008902922
In this paper we document the asymmetric role that the U.S. stock market plays in the international predictability of excess stock returns during recession and expansion periods. Most of the positive evidence accrues during the periods of recessions in the United States. During the expansions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011519115