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We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...
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We examine the information content of the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) when forecasting realized volatility in … volatility. In out-of-sample forecasting we find that econometric models based on realized volatility can be improved by … including implied volatility and other variables. Our results show that including implied volatility significantly improves …
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the pricing of European-style foreign currency options and for the volatility strike structure implicit in these contracts … is devoloped. The curvature of the volatility strike structure is explained by focusing attention on the expected … characteristic convex shape of volatility strike structures documented in the empirical literature. A volatility-based test for …
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