The thesis studies three pivotal episodes in the evolution of what became the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09. These three events - the collapse of the US housing market, the breakdown of the repo money market, and the banking crash - are indispensable for understanding some of the key...

The USAGE model for the United States is used to quantify economic costs due to stock mispricing, made operational by shocking Tobin’s q. The simulations quantify a potentially large impact even in the most favorable environment, where export demand holds up, and, the dollar is pro-cyclical. A...

We use a quantitative equilibrium model with houses, collateralized debt, and foreign borrowing to study the impact of global imbalances on the U.S. economy in the 2000s. Our results suggest that the dynamics of foreign capital flows account for between one-fourth and one-third of the increase...

We use a quantitative equilibrium model with houses, collateralized debt, and foreign borrowing to study the impact of global imbalances on the U.S. economy in the 2000s. Our results suggest that the dynamics of foreign capital flows account for between one-fourth and one-third of the increase...

Introduction -- Efficient markets and central banks? -- Money, banks and central banks -- Stable and unstable markets -- Deceiving the diligent -- On (central bank) governors -- Minsky meets Mandelbrot -- Beyond the efficient market fallacy -- Concluding remarks

Introduction -- Setting the stage -- The core idea -- Autobiography of a failed philosopher -- The theory of reflexivity -- Reflexivity in financial markets -- The super-bubble hypothesis -- Autobiography of a successful speculator -- My outlook for 2008 -- Some policy recommendations