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autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) simulation, employing a dataset spanning the years 1970-2021. The outcome of the ARDL bound …
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The ratio of Indian to US per capita output over the past 45 years has displayed a distinctive "V"-shaped pattern. We show that a strikingly similar V-shaped pattern is visible not just in aggregate output .figures, but also as the primary determinant of long-term movements in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726053
Following Bai (2004) and Bai and Ng (2004) we estimate a common factor representation of a panel of output series for India, disaggregated by 15 states and 14 broad industry groups. We find that a single common "V-Factor" accounts for a large part of the significant shift in the cross-sectional...
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This paper assesses the relationship between carbon emissions, economic growth and, energy consumption, in USA and China from the perspective of Granger causality, in a multivariate framework controlling for financial development, urbanization, and trade openness. Econometric techniques employed...
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In this brief, we provide a back-of-the-envelope estimate of the impact of current mitigation measures on the 2020 GDP …. Furthermore, our granular dataset is broken down at the level of industrial activity within counties, which allows us to make GDP … forecasts at the county level.We estimate that the real GDP growth rate will decline 5 percent for each month of partial …
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