Showing 1 - 10 of 95
Why are some people more optimistic about their life than others? Literature on locus of control suggests that optimism is associated with the belief that one’s life outcomes are controlled by internal factors, such as ability, instead of external factors, such as powerful others or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051053
In this article we theoretically develop and empirically test an integrative conceptual framework linking dispositional optimism as general outcome expectancy to general efficacy beliefs about internal (self) and external (instrumental social support and chance) factors as well as to general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051386
This thesis aims to develop an alternative expectations model to the Rational Expectations Hypothesis (REH) and … adaptive-expectations models, which provides more accurate temporal predictive performance and more closely reflects recent … Adaptive Interactive Expectations (AIE), a subjective dynamic model of the process of expectations formation. To REH, the AIE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258272
investment and investment in energy saving technologies,using subjective evaluations of expectations and uncertainty of Dutch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324949
This paper investigates the effect of uncertainty on FDI flows into the Mexican manufacturing sector during the period 2007-2015. Using a panel of manufacturing subsectors, we estimate a model by System GMM that includes domestic and external factors, as well as idiosyncratic (i.e. that affect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057063
This paper introduces a new measure of fiscal policy uncertainty based on the disagreement among professional forecasters. We analyze different patterns of this measure for the German economy for a sample period from November 1995 to April 2018 and also use Italian data for comparison....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012386999
This paper studies the dynamic effects of an uncertainty shock on firm expectations. We conduct a survey that confronts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888676
Consumers' inflation expectations play a key role in the monetary transmission mechanism. As such, it is crucial for … expectations. These include the apparent overestimation of inflation by consumers as well as the negative correlation observed … between the economic outlook and inflation expectations. We also show that the uncertainty framework fits with some of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272133
This paper investigates the effect of uncertainty on the volatility of the Mexican peso U.S. dollar exchange rate for the period 1999 - 2018. The empirical analysis consists on estimating a model by OLS and System GMM that includes measures of economic, political, and financial uncertainty, both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616384
. Macroeconomists increasingly rely on survey data on subjective expectations. An innovative approach to measure aggregate uncertainty … exploits the rounding patterns in individuals' responses to survey questions on inflation expectations (Binder, 2017). This … inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141866