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be derived by quadratic approximation. This leaves uncertainty in the basic three-equation model. After adding exogenous … AR(1) processes, I examine the results by numerical simulation. First, I derive a reduced-form solution for the nominal …, impulse response functions show the adjustments over time after a cost shock. As a result, accounting for uncertainty can lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479496
Focusing on policy-making under uncertainty, we analyze the Bank of Japanfs monetary policy in the early 1990s when the …, we find that the BOJfs monetary policy at that time was essentially optimal under uncertainty about the policy multiplier …. On the other hand, we also find that the BOJfs policy was not optimal under uncertainty about inflation dynamics, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004975775
Focusing on policymaking under uncertainty, we analyze the monetary policy of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) in the early 1990 … Japanese economy, we find that the BOJf s monetary policy at that time was essentially optimal under uncertainty about the … policy multiplier. On the other hand, we also find that the BOJ's policy was not optimal under uncertainty about inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004975789
theory of an adequate treatment of risk and uncertainty on the one hand and the role of social norms on the other hand is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425863
period 2002 : 01–2014 : 02. In the literature it is suggested that uncertainty is a key element in monetary policy, hence … empirical models of monetary policy should regard to uncertainty. In this study, we estimate a forward-looking monetary reaction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012217428
document that the uncertainty about the overall effect is large, both at the level of individual respondents and in terms of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013535574
Bauer et al. (2022) derive market-based monetary policy uncertainty and uncover an 'FOMC uncertainty cycle …' characterized by a fall of uncertainty after FOMC announcements and its subsequent built-up. Then, the authors show that the … financial markets' response to monetary policy announcements depends on the level of short-rate uncertainty on the day before …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014371184
Bauer et al. (2022) derive market-based monetary policy uncertainty and uncover an 'FOMC uncertainty cycle …' characterized by a fall of uncertainty after FOMC announcements and its subsequent built-up. Then, the authors show that the … financial markets' response to monetary policy announcements depends on the level of short-rate uncertainty on the day before …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372613
The forecast uncertainty was one of the causes of the recent economic crisis and its evaluation became more necessary … bootstrap simulations were used for assessing the uncertainty in inflation rate forecasts in Romania. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012468
, expectation uncertainty may undermine monetary policy’s ability to stabilise the economy. This study examines the effects of … inflation expectation uncertainty on inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap by means of a structural VAR with … stochastic volatility in mean. Inflation expectation uncertainty negatively affects the inflation rate and the output gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308599