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We investigate what it means for one act to be more ambiguous than another. The question is evidently analogous to asking what makes one prospect riskier than another, but beliefs are neither objective nor representable by a unique probability. Our starting point is an abstract class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927995
We investigate what it means for one act to be more ambiguous than another. The question is evidently analogous to asking what makes one prospect riskier than another, but beliefs are neither objective nor representable by a unique probability. Our starting point is an abstract class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694759
This article reviews and improves the theorems of the existence of restrictions near the boundaries of finite numerical segments and of the probability scale in the presence of non-zero dispersion. The non-zero dispersion may be caused, for example, by the influence of observation noises....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010927787
The article is devoted to data dispersion in economics. The state of the art and the problems of the utility theory are briefly reviewed. Examples of typical paradoxes, which are analyzed by the utility theory, are given. Analogous paradoxes may concern problems such as the underweighting of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686071
Many decision problems in various fields of application can be characterized as diagnostic problems trying to assess the true state (of the world) of given cases. The investigation of assessment criteria improves the initial information according to observed signal outcomes, which are related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003684
We investigate what it means for one act to be more ambiguous than another. The question is evidently analogous to asking what makes one prospect riskier than another, but beliefs are neither objective nor representable by a unique probability. Our starting point is an abstract class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009143652
Using basic decision-theory, we construct a theory of agnosticism, where agnosticism is defined as choosing not to choose a religion. The theory indicates agnosticism can be supported as a rational choice if (a) adopting agnosticism provides in-life benefits relative to any religion, (b) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671467
Various plants and resources such as orchards are vulnerable to the detrimental effects of successful invasions by alien animal or plant species. To outline an appropriate policy response, we first use renewal theory to construct a stochastic model of optimal orchard management in the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325210
Various plants and resources such as orchards are vulnerable to the detrimental effects of successful invasions by alien animal or plant species. To outline an appropriate policy response, we first use renewal theory to construct a stochastic model of optimal orchard management in the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373835
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013185344