This paper identifies the output gap using the theoretical definition of the gap within a Phillips curve. The results show that the output gap is large and persistent. Furthermore, the output gap is not correlated with the stochastic trend which is similar to the asumption used in the unobserved...

This paper identifies the output gap using the theoretical definition of the gap within a Phillips curve in the spirit of the New Keynesian framework. Using Peruvian data for the period 1980:1-2005:4, the results indicate a very flat slope of the Phillips curve but the output gap is large and...

Purpose – The paper aims to study the effect of the unemployment rate and its volatility on crime in the USA. It proposes that not only the unemployment rate, but also its volatility affect the crime. Design/methodology/approach – First, the volatility of the unemployment rate is calculated...

We analyze the degree of persistence of the unemployment rates of the 10 Canadian provinces using quarterly data for the period 1976:1-2005:4. We apply a two-break minimum Lagrange Multiplier unit root statistic, which, unlike standard unit root statistics (without or with breaks), makes it...

Using Markov-Switching models, this paper studies the existence of a relationship between the unemployment rate and four different types of crimes in the U.S. economy. After it, using the non-parametric Concordance Index of Harding and Pagan (2002, 2006), the correlation between the cycles of...

Using Markov Switching Autoregressive models the behaviour of four crime variables and unemployment rate during the period of study is investigated and different regimes for each variable determined. Using some nonparametric measures such as the Concordance Index (Harding and Pagan, 2002) and...