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We developed a factor regression model, nicknamed “GUPTY”, to study the business cycles, and their relation to the monetary policy. It covers several major macro-economic quantities, including unemployment rate, GDP, and weekly payrolls in the U.S. after WWII. The model postulates that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866359
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000930961
, has been labelled as the cause of rising unemployment and prolonged unemployment duration in Ghana. This paper presents … new evidence on the effect of education and skill-language, computer and numeracy skills-on unemployment duration in Ghana … unemployment duration. We found that education reduces the duration of unemployment in general. However, the effect is higher for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502799
Macroeconomic time series often involve a threshold effect in their ARMA representation, and exhibit long memory features. In this paper we introduce a new class of threshold ARFIMA models to account for this. The threshold effect is introduced in the autoregressive and/or the fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966199
In the last decade we have seen extensive international research on the extent to which wages of individuals respond to changing local labour market conditions. For many countries and periods, an inverse relationship between wages and unemployment rates has been found. Following Blanchflower and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326398
The objective of this research is to introduce in literature new measures of accuracy for point forecasts (radical of order n of the mean of squared errors, mean for the difference between each predicted value and the mean of the effective values, ratio of radicals of sum of squared errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231571
This paper, empirically, tests the validity of Okun’s law in Nigerian economy from 1980-2012. The two versions of the difference model approach of the Okun’s law are used even though one of them is frequently used in the literature. We utilize Var-cointegration method and examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009788571
We study the impact of graduating in a recession in Flanders (Belgium), i.e. in a rigid labor market. In the presence of a high minimum wage, a typical recession hardly influences the hourly wage of low educated men, but reduces working time and earnings by about 4.5% up to twelve years after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488823
We study the impact of graduating in a recession in Flanders (Belgium), i.e. in a rigid labor market. In the presence of a high minimum wage, a typical recession hardly influences the hourly wage of low educated men, but reduces working time and earnings by about 4.5% up to twelve years after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491732
When companies fail workers lose their jobs which raises the unemployment rate and some displaced workers with less financial wealth, larger financial obligations, and who are the sole bread winners in a family become likely candidates for a personal bankruptcy filing. The central role played by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116531