Although industrial production in Germany picked up again significantly with the recovery from the Corona crisis, supply bottlenecks for raw materials and intermediate products such as semiconductors became increasingly noticeable over 2021. In this article, we examine how these obstacles affect...

The strong and sustained labour market upswing in Germany is widely recognized. In a developing literature, various relevant studies highlight different specific reasons. The underlying study, instead, simultaneously considers a broad set of factors in a unified methodological framework and...

Im International Labour Market Forecasting Network tauschen sich Prognostiker der öffentlichen Arbeitsverwaltungen und verwandter Institute aus den nordischen Ländern sowie Deutschland und Österreich regelmäßig über die aktuelle und erwartete Entwicklung der nationalen Volkswirtschaften...

The paper investigates the predictive power of a new survey implemented by the Federal Employment Agency (FEA) for forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA's regional agencies are asked about their expectations of future labor market developments. We...