Recent work has exposed the extent of EU protectionism within the single market Customs Union. If the UK leaves the EU customs union for unilateral free trade, as a small country within the world market, it will therefore make gains according to the standard trade model. Should it do so, trade...

This paper examines the early months of trade in goods between the United Kingdom and European Union in the aftermath of Brexit. Controlling for product-time and partner country effects across all European bilateral trade flows, we isolate the contribution of Brexit on trade in the first half of...

This paper examines the early months of post-Brexit trade flows in goods between Ireland and the United Kingdom. Controlling for product-level time effects across all global trade partners, we isolate the contribution of Brexit to trade in the first eight months of 2021 from other potential...

This paper assesses the medium term impact of the United Kingdom leaving the EU Single Market under the terms of the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) reached at the end of 2020 using the OECD METRO CGE model. The analysis does not include any transitional costs to fully implementing...

In this paper, I reflect on the main types of gains derived from the regulation of public procurement in the context of the EU internal market that are at stake post-Brexit. Despite the difficulties in identifying and quantifying advantages derived from EU procurement rules, I submit that they...

A few months after the UK definitive departure from the EU, this work offers a comprehensive analysis of the trade relations between the two Parties and of their future perspectives in light of the scenario disclosed by the COVID-19 pandemic and by the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA). The...