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Forecasting aggregate demand components with opinions surveys in the four main EC countries : experience with the BUSY model ; internal paper

Biart, Michel; Praet, Peter - 1986

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000692740

Forecast uncertainties in macroeconometric modelling : an application to the UK economy

Garratt, Anthony (contributor) - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001480588

Forecast uncertainties in macroeconomic modeling : an application to the UK economy

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association : JASA 98 (2003) 464, pp. 829-838

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001971275

Forecast uncertainties in macroeconometric modelling : an application to the UK economy

Garratt, Anthony (contributor) - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001492671

Forecast uncertainties in macroeconometric modelling : an application to the UK economy

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2000

This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...