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How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?
Knüppel, Malte; Schultefrankenfeld, Guido - 2011
forecast commonly imply that the outturn is expected to lie above [below] the central forecast. Investigating the inflation … informativeness, that is, for a systematic connection between risk assessments and forecast errors. Thus, it seems questionable … whether macroeconomic risk forecasts are meaningful. -- Forecast evaluation ; risk forecasts ; inflation forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009159256
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Economic cycles and expected stock returns
Beber, Alessandro; Brandt, Michael W.; Luisi, Maurizio - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784726
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Re-examination of the predictability of economic activity using the yield spread : a nonlinear approach
Venetis, Ioannis A.; Payá, Ivan; Peel, David - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 12 (2003) 2, pp. 187-206
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001778669
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Predictability in international stock returns using currency fluctuations and forward rate forecasts
Wang, Jiexin; Han, Xue; Huang, Emily J.; Yost-Bremm, Chris - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 52 (2020), pp. 1-21
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012656847
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Structural breaks in the mean of dividend-price ratios : implications of learning on stock return predictability
Xuan, Chunji; Kim, Chang-jin - In: Japan and the world economy : international journal of … 55 (2020), pp. 1-8
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590816
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Predictable risks and returns : further evidence from the UK stock market
Georgiou, Catherine; Grose, Chris; Archontakis, Fragiskos - In: International Journal of Financial Markets and … 7 (2019) 1, pp. 68-100
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012253513
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Long-term government bond yelds and economic forecast : evidence for the EUh
Afonso, António - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011571884
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Four centuries of return predictability
Golez, Benjamin; Koudijs, Peter - In: Journal of financial economics 127 (2018) 2, pp. 248-263
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968859
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Four centuries of return predictability
Golez, Benjamin; Koudijs, Peter - 2017 - This version: January 30, 2017
/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870101
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Four Centuries of Return Predictability
Golez, Benjamin - 2014
/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457852