This paper aims at decomposing the forecast error variance of excess returns in five major European stock markets into the variance of news about future excess returns, dividends and real interest rates. Special emphasis is given on the issue of stationarity and structural breaks in the...

This paper presents a dynamic model averaging approach for forecasting nominal exchange rates, which is a novel approach in exchange rate forecasting literature. This framework encompasses most of the approaches commonly used in the forecasting literature. We focus on nine major trading currency...

This paper presents a dynamic model averaging approach for forecasting nominal exchange rates, which is a novel approach in exchange rate forecasting literature. This framework encompasses most of the approaches commonly used in the forecasting literature. We focus on nine major trading currency...

This paper investigates whether information from foreign yield curves helps forecast domestic yield curves out-of-sample. A nested methodology to forecast yield curves in domestic and international settings is applied on three major countries (the US, Germany and the UK). This novel methodology...