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, focuses onthe impact on supply. We show that risk premium shocks reduce the output level thatmaximizes profit. They also lead … to unemployment surges, as firms are forced to cutcosts when financing becomes expensive or is no longer available. As a … result, allcountries with risk premium shocks saw unemployment surge, even as euro area corecountries managed to contain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889134
This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices in Norway. The framework combines quantile regressions using a broad set of uncertainty indicators with a skewed t-distribution, allowing for time-variation and asymmetry in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014313751
Public sector jobs are created because governments opt to provide goods and services produced directly by public employees. Governments, however, may also choose to regulate the size of the public sector in order to stabilize targeted national employment levels. However, economic research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664993
market. Ceteris paribus, a decline also decreases a country's unemployment rate and its citizens will pay more for imported … United Kingdom, and the United States. For each country, I estimate the effect of Brexit on exchange rates, GDP, unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958020
productivity, when calculated as output per unit of effective labour input, is less cyclical than a simple measure of output per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014105735
Our aim in this paper is, first, to derive a model capable of explaining the stylized fact that fluctuations in labor market activities over the business cycle are primarily accommodated by changes in employment rather than in wages and, secondly, to test this model empirically. The model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012708771
Temporary work agencies use training as a recruitment and retention argument when qualified labor is scarce. However, short job assignments present a major obstacle for employers and employees to increase investment in training. As temporary agency workers are mainly low-qualified and often...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456169
Rising wage inequality in the U.S. and Britain (especially in the 1980s) and rising continental European unemployment … large data sets from the U.S., Britain, and western Germany to test the Krugman hypothesis for the 1990s, when unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448440
One of the key challenges of social policy in Poland in the early 21st century is to adapt its management to the requirements of a service economy. Essential conditions for the mixed economy of welfare have been already created after adjustments of the subsystems of national social policy during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450482
study several aspects of Okun’s law in Macedonia between 2004 and 2016. Aggregate indicators show a link between output and … unemployment that is in line with other emerging markets and regional peers. We also find that the relationship has been somewhat … components of GDP may cause different unemployment reactions, an important issue that has not been sufficiently addressed in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011965249