Expectations of Sterling returning to Gold have been disregarded in empirical work on the US dollar - Sterling exchange rate in the early 1920s. We incorporate such considerations in a PPP model of the exchange rate, letting the probability of a return to gold follow a logistic function. We draw...

We study international business cycles and capital flows in the UK, the United States and the Emerging Periphery in the period 1885-1939. Based on the same set of parameters, our model explains current account dynamics under both the Classical Gold Standard and during the Interwar period. We...

This paper surveys the results of four recent, separate attempts at estimating agricultural output and food availability in England and Wales at points between the Middle Ages and the Industrial Revolution. It highlights their contrasting implications for trends in economic growth and...

In his 2014 book, Thomas Piketty argues that wealth inequality is sharply increasing in r-g and refers to rg as ‘the central contradiction of capitalist economics', where r is asset returns and g is real income growth. To assess whether inequality is increasing in the (r-g)-gap this paper: 1)...

Argument: The paper argues that the introduction of the Euro has considerably reduced de facto monetary policy autonomy in non-ECU members. We start from a simple Mundellian model, in which currency unions raise economic efficiency but reduce monetary policy autonomy. Our main argument holds...

This paper surveys the results of four recent, separate attempts at estimating agricultural output and food availability in England and Wales at points between the Middle Ages and the Industrial Revolution. It highlights their contrasting implications for trends in economic growth and...

The Industrial Revolution has attracted increasing interest in the theoretical growth literature. Yet most models share few similarities with the economic events that unfolded in Britain, ca. 1750 to 1850. This paper briefly discusses a number of popular models, contrasts them with recent...

This paper reviews a collection of essays relating to various aspects of the financial revolution in Britain starting with the creation of the Bank of England in the late seventeenth century and ending with the defeat of Napoleon in 1815, a period in which Britain unexpectedly became the...

The enormous increase in the United Kingdom's national debt during the two world wars of the 20th century meant that government debt management, which had hitherto been regarded as a matter of ‘budgetary convenience', acquired great macroeconomic significance. The paper examines and compares...