We revisit the so-called "secular international problem", whereby the adjustment of current account imbalances purportedly falls entirely on the shoulders of deficit countries. We introduce a stylised model to rationalise an asymmetric counter-cyclical policy reaction that is stronger for...

Large external imbalances have become a policy concern. This study investigates the determinants of external balances for regions within a single country – Canadian provinces – as well as for a sample of 18 OECD countries. External balance adjustment may differ for provinces since there are...

Relations between national public and private savings, domestic investment, and the current account are analyzed with the Global Econometric Model (National Institute, London). Simulation results obtained with this full modeling approach for the US, Japan, Germany and the UK are compared with...

We study international business cycles and capital flows in the UK, the United States and the Emerging Periphery in the period 1885-1939. Based on the same set of parameters, our model explains current account dynamics under both the Classical Gold Standard and during the Interwar period. We...

Empirical studies have found that inflation targeting leads to a fall in real interest rate, macroeconomic uncertainty, exchange rate volatility, and output volatility. Economic theory suggests that those elements should lead to a rise in investment and a fall in private savings. However, Rose...

This paper aims to test the current account approach for UK and USA data. In order to do this it's used Johansen, S. and A. R. Swensen (1999) methodology to test exactly a restriction implied by a rational expectation model. All the parameters are estimated directly from the econometric model...