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The U.S. Treasury term structure and the distribution of real GDP growth

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A Markov switching model of GNP growth with duration dependence

Lam, Pok-sang - 1997

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The Fischer Black hypothesis : some time-series evidence

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Duration-Dependent Transitions in a Markov Model of U.S. GNP Growth

Durland, Michael - 2011

Hamilton's nonlinear filter is extended to allow state transitions to be duration dependent. Restrictions are imposed on the state transition matrix associated with a tau-order Markov system such that the corresponding first-order conditional transition probabilities are functions of both the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119818

The Nature of the Official Monthly Estimates of U.S. GDP Quarterly Growth Rates

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-piece generalized distribution. An analysis of the estimation errors reveals that both GDP estimates are not strictly rational. Instead …

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