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The role of credit in predicting US recessions

Ponka, Harri - In: Journal of forecasting 36 (2017) 5, pp. 469-482

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860598

Dating US business cycles with macro factors

Fossati, Sebastian - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 20 (2016) 5, pp. 529-547

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649152

Real-time real economic activity : entering and exiting the pandemic recession of 2020

Diebold, Francis X. - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206234

A statistical approach to identifying current leading indicators of the US recovery

Kelliher, Kieran - In: International Journal of Public Policy 9 (2013) 1/2, pp. 86-107

indicators for monitoring the recovery. A comprehensive list of potential leading indicators is constructed through the … application of economic theory. By applying a detailed evaluation and selection procedure, the most suitable of these indicators … is identified. Principal component analysis is then utilised to construct eight summary indicators representative of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010670221

On the use of singular spectrum analysis for forecasting U.S. trade before, during and after the 2008 recession

Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal; Hassani, Hossein - In: International economics : a journal published by CEPII … 141 (2015), pp. 34-49

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539483

Using financial indicators to predict turning points in the business cycle : the case of the leading economic index for the United States

Levanon, Gad; Manini, Jean-Claude; Ozyildirim, Ataman; … - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 2, pp. 399-425

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474152

Forecasting US recessions : the role of sentiment

Christiansen, Charlotte; Eriksen, Jonas Nygaard; … - In: Journal of banking & finance 49 (2014), pp. 459-468

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509261

Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index

Lewis, Daniel J.; Mertens, Karel; Stock, James H.; … - 2020 - Revised September 2020

This paper describes a weekly economic index (WEI) developed to track the rapid economic developments associated with the onset of and policy response to the novel coronavirus in the United States. The WEI is a weekly composite index of real economic activity, with eight of ten series available...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200037

Dynamic monitoring and forecasting of the soundness of U.S. insurers in a cyclical environment

Mao, Hong; Hao, Wei - In: Asia-Pacific journal of risk and insurance : APJRI 13 (2019) 1, pp. 1-15

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008189

Evaluating the predicting power of ordered probit models for multiple business cycle phases in the U.S. and Japan

Proaño Acosta, Christian; Tarassow, Artur - In: Journal of the Japanese and international economies : … 50 (2018), pp. 60-71

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111864

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