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We study the time-varying effects of Tobin's q and cash flow on investment dynamics in the USA using a vector … variation over time of the response of investment to shocks in both variables. The time-varying sensitivity of investment to a … show that, although Tobin's q and cash flow are complementary sources of information for investment decisions, their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483612
We estimate a New-Neoclassical Synthesis model of the business cycle with two investment shocks. The first, an … investment-specific technology shock, affects the transformation of consumption into investment goods and is identified with the … relative price of investment. The second shock affects the production of installed capital from investment goods or, more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948199
Macroeconomic and sector-specific shocks exert differential effects on investment in disaggregate sectoral data. The … monotonically. A calibrated model of investment with convex capital adjustment costs and rational inattention explains these … features of the data. The model matches the empirical responses of sectoral investment because learning about shocks generates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827670
Is real investment fully determined by fundamentals or is it sometimes affected by stock market misvaluation? We … introduce three new tests that: measure the reaction of investment to sales shocks for firms that may be overvalued; use Fama … misvaluation into standard investment equations to estimate the quantitative effect of misvaluation on investment. Overall, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736657
This paper shows that the parsimoniously time-varying methodology of Callot and Kristensen (2015) can be applied to factor models. We apply this method to study macroeconomic instability in the US from 1959:1 to 2006:4 with a particular focus on the Great Moderation. Models with parsimoniously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532582
Uncertainty about the future course of the economy is a possible driver of aggregate fluctuations. To identify the different dimensions of uncertainty in the macroeconomy we construct a large dataset covering all types of economic uncertainty. We then identify two fundamental factors which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412767
In the current literature uncertainty about the future course of the economy is identified as a possible driver of business cycle fluctuations. In fact, uncertainty surrounds the movements of all economic variables which gives rise to a monitoring problem. We identify the different dimensions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010188870
stands in stark contrast to traditional VAR models, which yield decisively different results in the two identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315462
stands in stark contrast to traditional VAR models, which yield decisively different results in the two identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636064
Using US data for the period 1959-2007, we identify sectoral productivity shocks and capital investment-specific shocks … real and nominal factors, we find that capital investment-specific shocks explain 70 percent of fluctuations of R …&D investment while R&D technology shocks explain 30 percent of the variation of aggregate output net of R&D investment (i.e. the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530178