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To measure the global spillovers of a Chinese slowdown on the long-term nominal interest rates in the US/Germany, I model the US/German nominal term structure jointly in the post financial crisis (FC) sample, including the Chinese leading indicator as a new factor. I use an affine term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913804
Previous estimates of the impact of foreign official demand for U.S. Treasuries (USTs) on U.S. interest rates control for domestic conditions only. Yet global cyclical factors jointly shape U.S. yields and foreign demand for USTs. This paper recovers global factors from the cross-section of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214063
This paper studies interactions between UK and US interest rates. We determine how interest rates’ means and volatilities react to key economic/financial news. We analyse the integration of the American and British economies by studying spillover and feedback effects between rates and news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008868091
The seeds for the 2007-09 financial collapse were sewn over many years and nurtured by ill-advised governmental housing policy, the presence of pervasive fraud both large and small and the widespread failure of personal integrity. A chronology of bad choices made by individuals and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972692
This is a chapter for the forthcoming book in West Publishing Company's Inside the Minds Series focusing on Financial Services Enforcement and Compliance (published by Aspatore Books). This chapter provides an overview of nature and current state of the markets for the equity side and debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063503
On 11-12 May 2011, SUERF and the Belgian Financial Forum, in association with the Brussels Finance Institute and the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) organized the 29th SUERF Colloquium “New Paradigms in Money and Finance?” All the papers in the present SUERF Study are based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689952
Since December 2008, the Federal Reserve’s traditional policy instrument, the target federal funds rate, has been effectively at its lower bound of zero. In order to further ease the stance of monetary policy as the economic outlook deteriorated, the Federal Reserve purchased substantial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948813
We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. Slope predicts stock returns at the weekly frequency: faster monetary policy easing positively predicts excess returns. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566444
This paper explores the effects of non-standard monetary policies on international yield relationships. Based on a descriptive analysis of international long-term yields, we find evidence that long-term rates have followed a global downward trend prior to as well as during the financial crisis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414128
This paper estimates the impact of the Federal Reserve's 2008-2011 quantitative easing (QE) program on the U.S. term structure of interest rates. Different from other studies, we estimate an arbitrage-free term structure model that explicitly includes the quantity impact of the Fed's trades on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108838