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We combine an estimated monetary policy rule featuring time-varying trend inflation and stochastic coefficients with a medium scale New Keynesian framework calibrated on the U.S. economy. We find the impact of variations in trend inflation on the likelihood of equilibrium determinacy to be both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343856
This paper estimates the complete historical US price data by employing a relatively new statistical methodology based on long memory. We consider, in addition to the standard case, the possibility of nonlinearities in the form of nonlinear deterministic trends as well as the possibility that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854954
the pattern of volatility spillovers. We estimate the bivariate structural GARCH models proposed by Spargoli e Zagaglia … (2008) to gauge the causal relations between volatility changes in the two assets. We also apply the tests for change of co …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144098
Summary • Putin and Trump, leaders arguably with hostile powers. Their meeting holds significant importance in history, requiring scenario planning to structure long-term business relationships and a defense playground for both countries.• It will provide assurances; to the operating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014031910
This paper examines the effects of time-varying volatility on welfare. I construct a tractable endogenous growth model … with recursive preferences, stochastic volatility, and capital adjustment costs. The model shows that a rise in volatility … a risk-averse household, volatility risk can increase or decrease welfare, depending on model parameters. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650148
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061666
We examine the impact of oil price and oil price volatility on US illiquidity premiums (return on illiquid …-minus-liquid stocks), using the US Oil Fund options implied volatility OVX index. We use daily data from 2007 to 2018, taking into account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262061
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011625701
focuses on the effects of a currency union on exchange rate volatility following similar approach by Scrimgeour (2002 …: Australia, New Zealand, USA and Japan. The main findings showed that both short-term and cyclical exchange rate volatility are … currency baskets. Choosing a single common anchor currency based solely on exchange rate volatility may not be conclusive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009409641
-dependent volatility that is similar to that of the real exchange rate itself. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490699