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Why are foreigners willing to invest almost $2 trillion per year in the United States? The answer affects if the existing pattern of global imbalances can persist and if the United States can continue to finance its current account deficit without a major change in asset prices and returns. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948588
This paper studies external sovereign bonds as an asset class. It compiles a new database of 266,000 monthly prices of foreign-currency government bonds traded in London and New York between 1815 (the Battle of Waterloo) and 2016, covering up to 91 countries. The main insight is that, as in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012801883
I study the joint dynamics between the US wealth share, the dollar and the global economy. I uncover three novel stylised facts about these joint dynamics. Firstly, the US wealth share is countercyclical: it falls on impact but subsequently rises over the course of global recessions. Secondly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237177
This paper studies external sovereign bonds as an asset class. We compile a new database of 266,000 monthly prices of foreign-currency government bonds traded in London and New York between 1815 (the Battle of Waterloo) and 2016, covering up to 91 countries. Our main insight is that, as in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012807817
The United States (US) extracts a large macroeconomic premium from foreigners: she enjoys higher consumption and GDP growths on average relative to the rest of the world (ROW). This is earned even though the US is relatively insulated against global consumption and GDP risks, challenging a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077659
This paper investigates the link between Bitcoin and macroeconomic fundamentals by estimating the impact of macroeconomic news on Bitcoin using an event study with intraday data. The key result is that, unlike other U.S. asset classes, Bitcoin is orthogonal to monetary and macroeconomic news....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013548985
This Article looks at the regulatory techniques that were adopted in a small but developed market, Canada, in response to the increasing integration of the North American economy and internationalization of capital markets. One of the most comprehensive experiments was the Multijurisdictional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155934
The impact of monetary policy in large advanced countries on emerging market economies — dubbed spillovers — is hotly debated in global and national policy circles. When the U.S. resorted to unconventional monetary policy, spillovers on asset prices and capital flows were significant, though...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028665
We augment a standard monetary DSGE model to include a banking sector and financial markets. We fit the model to Euro Area and US data. We find that agency problems in financial contracts, liquidity constraints facing banks and shocks that alter the perception of market risk and hit financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973320
This paper formulates and tests a model that describes the asset and financing adjustments of U.S. non-financial enterprises over the twentieth century. Asset adjustments change the expected income and operating risk of firms while financing adjustments change the financial risk. To protect debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122600