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We use a dynamic factor model to provide a semi-structural representation for 101 quarterly US macroeconomic series. We find that (i) the US economy is well described by a number of structural shocks between two and five. Focusing on the four-shock specification, we identify, using sign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626760
measured by loan-to-value (LTV) ratios? In a structural VAR, GDP and business investment increase following an expansionary LTV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646925
This paper studies the relationship between the business cycle and financial intermediation in the euro area. We establish stylized facts and study their stability during the global financial crisis and the European sovereign debt crisis. Long-term interest rates have been exceptionally high and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012000041
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
stands in stark contrast to traditional VAR models, which yield decisively different results in the two identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636064
This paper studies the relationship between the business cycle and financial intermediation in the euro area. We establish stylized facts and study their stability during the global financial crisis and the European sovereign debt crisis. Long-term interest rates have been exceptionally high and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959310
policy shock in US data. Our VAR includes net business formation, profits and markups. We evaluate two channels through which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596318
We consider a model with frictional unemployment and staggered wage bargaining where hours worked are negotiated for each period. The workers' bargaining power in the working time negotiations affects both unemployment volatility and inflation persistence. The closer to zero this parameter, (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599072
The recognised approach to designing an optimal monetary policy model is based on the central bank's ability to mitigate losses using a quadratic criterion subject to the linear structure of the economy. This study examines the United States Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy in different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012598250
We consider a model with frictional unemployment and staggered wage bargaining where hours worked are negotiated every period. The workers' bargaining power in the hours negotiation affects both unemployment volatility and inflation persistence. The closer to zero this parameter, (i) the more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831761