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President Obamas National Export Initiative is targeted at doubling U.S. exports between 2010 and 2015. We apply USAGE to quantify what the NEI would need to do to foreign importdemand curves and domestic export-supply curves to achieve this target. USAGE is a dynamic economy-wide model of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009412187
Beginning with [Johansen (1960)], computable general equilibrium (CGE) models have been widely applied to study the impact of a variety of economic policy issues. These include changes in macroeconomic or regional economic policies such as tariff reductions, changes in labour force demographics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988318
on consumer price inflation due to globalization, but significant effects on the exchange rate and domestic asset prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208878
We analyze the welfare cost of inflation in a model with cash-in-advance constraints and an endogenous distribution of … establishments' productivities. Inflation distorts aggregate productivity through firm entry dynamics. The model is calibrated to the … United States economy and the long-run equilibrium properties are compared at low and high inflation. We find that, when the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003916989
This paper studies the long run welfare costs of inflation in a micro-founded model with trading frictions and costly … agent model, the welfare costs of inflation are significantly smaller due to distributional effects of inflation. The … welfare cost of increasing inflation from 0% to 10% is 0.62% of income for the U.S. economy and 0.20% of income for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003560521
If firms borrow working capital to finance production, then nominal interest rates have a direct influence on inflation … empirical importance in explaining inflation dynamics in the US and in the euro area. -- New Keynesian Phillips Curve ; cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009239701
inflation is inertial. Microeconomic data indicate that firms change prices frequently. We formulate and estimate a model which … resolves this apparent micro - macro conflict. Our model is consistent with post-war U.S. evidence on inflation inertia even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584699
This paper provides new evidence on a long-standing question asked by Shiller (1997): Why do we dislike inflation? I … inflation and their reactions to it. The predominant reason for people's aversion to inflation is the widespread belief that it …-income groups. Inflation also provokes stress, emotional responses, and a sense of inequity, as the wages of high-income individuals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528340
We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States … including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This …. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and tends to be smaller in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726107
1970s' United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests … that the Bundesbank – which is near-universally credited for sparing West Germany the Great Inflation – would also not have … been able to prevent the Great Inflation in the United States. The sheer implausibility of this result sounds a cautionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153230