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Aggregate Stability and Balanced-Budget Rules
Ghilardi, Matteo; Rossi, Raffaele - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
It has been shown that under perfect competition and a Cobb-Douglas production function, a basic real business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790380
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Sincronización entre los cicles económicos de México y Estados Unidos: Nuevos resultados con base en el análisis de los indices coincidentes regionales de México
Delajara, Marcelo - 2012
In this paper we analyze the synchronization between the business cycles of US and Mexican regions. Regional economic activity in Mexico is measured using regional coincident indexes recently developed at Banco de México, while US aggregate economic activity is measured with the national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322545
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The United States-Euro area growth gap puzzle
Breuss, Fritz - 2017
Ten years ago, the global financial crisis started to unwind in the USA and triggered the greatest recession since World War II. Although the crisis of 2007-08 was caused in the USA, their economy was not hit so hard in the Great Recession of 2009 as in Europe, and in particular in the Euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853244
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Stock Market Overview and Analysis of Alternate Investment Strategies 2007-Present
Hines, Zach; Nohelty, Eric; Porwoll, Matt; Wood, Brian; … - 2010
Color poster with text, images, and graphs.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009460834
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The global role of the U.S. economy: Linkages, policies and spillovers
Kose, M. Ayhan; Lakatos, Csilla; Ohnsorge, Franziska; … - 2017
This paper analyzes the role of the United States in the global economy and examines the extent of global spillovers from changes in U.S. growth, monetary and fiscal policies, and uncertainty in its financial markets and economic policies. Developments in the U.S. economy, the world's largest,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696319
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The impact of US regional business cycles on remittances to Latin America
Magnusson, Kristin - 2009
The current economic slowdown in the United States and the decline in remittance growth to some Latin American countries have intensified the interest in the relationship between these variables. We investigate whether host country conditions affect remittance outflows to Latin America, focusing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281244
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Dynamic Factor Trees and Forests: A theory-led machine learning framework for non-linear and state-dependent short-term U.S. GDP growth predictions
Wochner, Daniel - 2020
Machine Learning models are often considered to be "black boxes" that provide only little room for the incorporation of theory (cf. e.g. Mukherjee, 2017; Veltri, 2017). This article proposes so-called Dynamic Factor Trees (DFT) and Dynamic Factor Forests (DFF) for macroeconomic forecasting, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546027
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News, credit spreads and default costs : an expectations-driven interpretation of the recent boom-bust cycle in the US
Gunn, Christopher M.; Johri, Alok - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009573515
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The behaviour of small cap vv. large cap stocks in recessions and recoveries : empirical evidence for the United States and Canada
Switzer, Lorne N. - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 21 (2010) 3, pp. 332-346
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009267819
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Endogenous firm entry in an estimated model of the US business cycle - updated version
Offick, Sven; Winkler, Roland - 2015
business cycle fluctuations. The amplification mechanism works through the competition and the variety effect. This paper tests … the significance of this amplification mechanism, quantifies its importance, and disentangles the competition and the … competition and the variety effect are estimated to be statistically significant. Together, they amplify the volatility of output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390479