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This paper applies a nonparametric method based on realized and bipower variations calculated from intraday data to identify jumps in daily futures prices of crude oil, heating oil and natural gas contracts traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The sample period of our intraday data covers...
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This study examines the dynamic economic relationships between the fundamental variables that influence natural gas prices within the U.S. market. We utilize a structural vector autoregressive (VAR) and Markov switching models to investigate the impact and stability of regime switches between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213528
Recent developments in biofuel technologies have resulted in heightened linkages between the petroleum and agricultural sectors. As such, a large price and/or volatility shift experienced in one sector is now more likely to spill-over into the other. In trying to capture the interrelations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003473
This paper analyzes the integration of the American, European, and Asian natural gas markets over the period 2016-2022, with a focus on how the demand shock caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the supply shock caused by geopolitical tensions in the European market affected this integration. We...
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We develop a structural bond pricing approach and implement it on a large panel of US industrial bonds using an efficient maximum likelihood methodology. We evaluate the model's ability to predict yield spread levels and changes out-of-sample. Errors are smaller and distinctly less variable than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600071
China has become the world's biggest consumer of gold in recent years. After only several years of operation, the Chinese gold futures market is now one of the largest globally. This paper studies the price discovery process for the Chinese gold markets. Since the financial crisis in 2007, gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005267
The study conducts an empirical test on dollar-denominated sovereign credit spreads in emerging markets, including Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, the Philippines, the Russian Federation, and Turkey to examine their relationship with each country's exchange rate and the United States (US) Treasury...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917815