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This paper estimates the impact on the US economy of four types of uncertainty about (i) government spending, (ii) tax … changes, (iii) public debt sustainability and (iv) monetary policy. Following a one standard deviation shock, uncertainty …, consumption and investment after two years around 0.5%, 0.3% and 1.5% respectively. Uncertainty on the other economic policies has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009790714
news entropy, we find that decreases are associated with two key features: an increase in uncertainty measures and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234550
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262971
estimate a large-scale FAVAR model for 18 OECD member countries. We quantify the global effects of economic policy uncertainty … and financial sector effects of uncertainty. In that respect, we compare the impacts of a US and a Euro area uncertainty … shock. According to our results, an increase in uncertainty has a strong negative impact on economic activity, consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691548
a large-scale FAVAR model for 18 OECD member countries. We quantify the global effects of economic policy uncertainty … and financial sector effects of uncertainty. In that respect, we compare the impacts of a US and a Euro area uncertainty … shock. According to our results, an increase in uncertainty has a strong negative impact on economic activity, consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110907
a large-scale FAVAR model for 18 OECD member countries. We quantify the global effects of economic policy uncertainty … and financial sector effects of uncertainty. In that respect, we compare the impacts of a US and a Euro area uncertainty … shock. According to our results, an increase in uncertainty has a strong negative impact on economic activity, consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011640939
-category spillovers of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and financial market volatility between the US and Japan. Our model includes … indices of monetary, fiscal and trade policy uncertainty for each country, as well as three measures of option-implied stock … strong sources of uncertainty spillovers throughout the sample period. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011954058
This paper analyses the interdependence of policy uncertainty from 1985 to 2017 across six different categories of US … Diebold and Yilmaz (2012, 2014) connectedness index methodology to the newspaper-based uncertainty indices developed by Baker … policy categories are strong net transmitters of uncertainty spillovers (e.g. fiscal policy), while others show only a low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799682
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000613707
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001773596