Showing 1 - 10 of 1,221
This paper investigates private net saving in the US economy - divided into its principal components, households and (nonfinancial) corporate financial balances - and its impact on the GDP cycle from the 1980s to the present. Furthermore, we investigate whether the financial markets (stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008758823
This paper investigates private net saving in the US economy - divided into its principal components, households and (nonfinancial) corporate financial balances - and its impact on the GDP cycle from the 1980s to the present. Furthermore, we investigate whether the financial markets (stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136368
We study the time-varying impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on the US Economy by using a VAR with time-varying coefficients. The coefficients are allowed to evolve gradually over time which allows us to discover structural changes without imposing them a priori. We find three different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888261
-run equilibrium holding of consumption goods slowly rather than quickly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089563
We estimate the dynamic effects of aggregate US housing market shocks on state-level retail sales and home prices from 1976 to 2008. We use a common factor VAR model to account for the dynamics of the state-level variables, and identify housing demand and supply shocks using a signs-restriction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094425
negative if consumption grows slowly. The reasons for this change are straightforward, if underappreciated: (i) the value of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011289074
The study proposes a multivariate unobserved components model in order to examine relationships at business cycle frequencies among macroeconomic variables. The series are decomposed into non-stationary trends, stationary cycles, and an irregular component. The co-movements among the particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009699981
the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518800
the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530531
The present paper tests for the existence of multicointegration between real per capita private consumption expenditure … income and consumption expenditure on the one hand, and the stock of consumers' wealth, which can be considered as cumulative … multicointegrating relations and find supporting evidence for the existence of multicointegration in US consumption data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439261