We study the time-varying effects of Tobin's q and cash flow on investment dynamics in the USA using a vector autoregression model with drifting parameters and stochastic volatilities estimated via Bayesian methods. We find significant variation over time of the response of investment to shocks...

In this paper we use the functional vector autoregression (VAR) framework of Chang, Chen, and Schorfheide (2024) to study the effects of monetary policy shocks (conventional and informational) on the cross-sectional distribution of U.S. earnings (from the Current Population Survey), consumption,...

In this paper, we assess whether key relations between US interest rates have been stable over time. This is done by estimating trivariate hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR models with stochastic volatility for the three-month Treasury bill rate, the slope of the Treasury yield curve...

In this paper, we assess how risk-sharing channels have evolved over time in the United States and the Euro Area, and whether they have operated as "complements" or "substitutes". In particular, we focus on the capital channel (income from cross-border ownership of productive assets), the credit...

Agricultural production is often exposed to several sources of risks, uncertainties and random shocks. These risks and random shocks make the evaluation the influence of policy interventions in the agricultural sector difficult due to the existence of limited data about random events....

This paper studies the long-run persistence of inequality in the U.S. With this aim, both income and wealth inequality measures covering the period from 1870 to 2019 have been analyzed. The persistent character of inequality has been assessed using unit root and structural break tests for time...

Although typically modeled as a centralized firm decision, pricing often involves multiple organizational teams that have decision rights over specific pricing inputs. We study team input decisions using comprehensive data from a large U.S. airline. We document that pricing at a sophisticated...

In this paper, the role of matching efficiency (equivalently, mismatch) at the aggregate level in driving unemployment fluctuations is estimated using a TVP-SVAR model. Modelling mismatch at the aggregate level sidesteps the problematic implicit assumption of orthogonality of sources of mismatch...

Central banks have won in credibility as from the mid-eighties by keeping inflation under control. However, confidence in low inflation might have encouraged agents to excessive risk-taking, leading asset prices to rise. Moreover, the belief in a Federal Reserve guarantee against a sharp market...