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' PC (relating the level of the inflation rate, not the change in this rate, to the rate of unemployment); and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347209
relationship between inflation and unemployment is nonlinear. Using aggregate data we are unable to reject a linear relationship … low compared to when it is high. Nevertheless the simple nonlinear Phillips curves used here suggest a core CPI inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710083
This article aims to analyze the relationship between inflation and unemployment in the United States, in the 1960s and … unemployment and inflation rates were observed, although at the cost of high inequality. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489772
The aim of the article is to clarify the controversies surrounding the relationship between inflation and unemployment … also an increase in inflation. The article, therefore, hypothesises that the relationships between unemployment and … inflation in the countries studied during the above period were unidirectional. To verify this hypothesis, two basic research …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015063564
Two extraordinary U.S. labor market developments facilitated the sharp disinflation in 2022-23 without raising the unemployment rate. First, pandemic-driven infection worries and social distancing intentions caused a sizable drag on labor force participation that began to reverse in the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576613
sticky-price version of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve does a good job of approximating US inflation dynamics. However … to the entire underlying model of the NKPC. Thus I conclude that the NKPC fails to give a sound explanation of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003777825
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003883795
. In particular, the consequences of inflation having discrete breaks in mean, for example caused by supply shocks and the … dynamic inflation terms of the Phillips curve. We suggest a method to account for the breaks in mean and obtain meaningful and … from more traditional approaches, most recently undertaken by Cogley and Sbordone (2008). -- Phillips curve ; inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951489
This paper examines inflation dynamics in the Unites States since 1960, with a particular focus on the Great Recession …. A puzzle emerges when Phillips curves estimated over 1960- 2007 are used to predict inflation over 2008-2010: inflation … by theories of costly price adjustment: we measure core inflation with the median CPI inflation rate, and we allow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009006731
. This paper continues this strand of research by examining the role survey expectations play in the inflation process and … reports three principal findings. One, short-run inflation expectations appear to play a significant role in explaining U ….S. inflation over the past 20-25 years. Two, long-run expectations generally do not appear to have a direct influence on U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009374709