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Extending the controversial findings from relevant literature on testing the efficient market hypothesis for the U.S. housing market, the results from the monthly and quarterly transaction-based Case-Shiller indices from 1987 to 2009 provide further empirical evidence on the rejection of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003919079
A popular interpretation of the Rational Expectations/Efficient Markets hypothesis states that, if the hypothesis holds, then market valuations must follow a random walk. This postulate has frequently been criticized on the basis of empirical evidence. Yet the assertion itself incurs what we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009547387
A popular interpretation of the Rational Expectations/Efficient Markets hypothesis states that, if it holds, market valuations must follow a random walk; hence, the hypothesis is frequently criticized on the basis of empirical evidence against such a prediction. Yet this reasoning incurs what we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009663233
We argue that the Jacobsen and Visaltanachoti (2009) study is incomplete. Jacobsen and Visaltanachoti (2009) evaluate the Halloween effect or ‘Sell in May'-effect as documented by Bouman and Jacobsen (2002), and extend the analysis into the relative performances of sectors during the winter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157007
We study return predictability of the Dow Jones Industrial Average indices from 1900 to 2009. We find strong evidence that time-varying return predictability is driven by changing market conditions, consistent with the implications of the adaptive markets hypothesis. During market crashes, no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148621
This paper theoretically examines the impact of conservatism on the asset price in an asset market allowing for strategic interactions among traders. Due to the trades coming from conservatism traders contain less informational content, the asset price is shown to be less informative in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009742842
The Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) slashed corporations' median effective tax rates from 31.7% to 20.8%. Nevertheless, 15% of firms experienced an increase. One fifth of firms recorded nonrecurring tax costs or benefits exceeding 3% of total assets. Proxies that existing studies employ to assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270766
We uncover a large and significant low-minus-high rank effect for commodities across two centuries. There is nothing anomalous about this anomaly, nor is it clear how it can be arbitraged away. Using nonparametric econometric methods, we demonstrate that such a rank effect is a necessary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011567896
How do market prices adjust towards stability after a shock? Tracking individual stock prices following their dramatic shakeup after Donald Trump's surprise election provides an answer. Prices moved overwhelmingly in the appropriate direction on the first post-election day, albeit much too...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011814700
We examine the network of trading relations between insurers and dealers in the over-the-counter corporate bond market. Comprehensive regulatory data shows that many insurers use only one dealer while the largest insurers have networks of up to forty dealers. Large insurers receive better prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865497