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To explain the strategic dimension in pricing options, it will be helpful to go back to the heart of the idea behind the concept of an option: options open up the possibility to postpone current decisions to a future point of time. Because of this flexibility additional information and new...
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forecasts is not considered. Thus, important knowledge used by market participants is ignored in theory. By extending a standard … derivative pricing and is able to estimate the information gain compared to a benchmark model without meteorological forecasts …
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Forecasting based pricing of Weather Derivatives (WDs) is a new approach in valuation of contingent claims on nontradable underlyings. Standard techniques are based on historical weather data. Forward-looking information such as meteorological forecasts or the implied market price of risk (MPR)...
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