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This paper compares relative unit labour cost developments in the countries of the euro-area since the beginning of the European Monetary Union (EMU) both with historical developments and with intra-regional unit labour cost developments in the United States of America and Germany. To this end,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426369
We present new empirical evidence for the US economy that inflation reduces the inequality of the earnings distribution … higher inflation on income distribution is shown to be rather small. However, we find that a longer duration between two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507921
investigate the inflation expectations and uncertainties of firms. We document that, in the aggregate, firm inflation expectations … are very similar to the predictions of professional forecasters for national inflation statistics, despite a somewhat … inflation expectations bear little in common with the "prices in general" expectations reported by households. Next we show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010457601
investigate the inflation expectations and uncertainties of firms. We document that, in the aggregate, firm inflation expectations … are very similar to the predictions of professional forecasters for national inflation statistics, despite a somewhat … inflation expectations bear little in common with the "prices in general" expectations reported by households. Next we show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459621
inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil … scenario of the type discussed by many observers, would only briefly raise monthly headline inflation, before fading rather … quickly. However, the short-run effects on headline inflation would be sizable. For example, on a year-over-year basis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696925
Inflation and earnings growth can push some tax payers into higher brackets in the absence of inflation …-indexed schedules. Moreover, inflation may affect the composition of individuals’ income sources. As a result, depending on the relative … tax burden of labour and capital, inflation may decrease or increase the difference between before-tax and after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780012
' PC (relating the level of the inflation rate, not the change in this rate, to the rate of unemployment); and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347209
policy to U.S. inflation over the December 2019-June 2022 period. Model calibrations show that aggregate demand shocks … explain roughly two-thirds of total model-based inflation, and that the fiscal stimulus contributed half or more of the total …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013548957
Two extraordinary U.S. labor market developments facilitated the sharp disinflation in 2022-23 without raising the unemployment rate. First, pandemic-driven infection worries and social distancing intentions caused a sizable drag on labor force participation that began to reverse in the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014550371
The aim of the article is to clarify the controversies surrounding the relationship between inflation and unemployment … also an increase in inflation. The article, therefore, hypothesises that the relationships between unemployment and … inflation in the countries studied during the above period were unidirectional. To verify this hypothesis, two basic research …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015063564