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comparison methodology, we find that boosting is a serious competitor for forecasting US industrial production growth in the …This paper evaluates the forecast performance of boosting, a variable selection device, and compares it with the …
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We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
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